{"id":4328,"date":"2026-04-06T00:03:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T15:03:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/?p=4328"},"modified":"2026-04-06T00:41:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T15:41:56","slug":"%e5%93%b2%e5%ad%a6%e3%81%af%e3%81%aa%e3%81%9c%e6%a7%8b%e9%80%a0%e3%81%ae%e6%8f%ba%e3%82%8c%e3%82%92%e6%95%b0%e7%90%86%e3%83%a2%e3%83%87%e3%83%ab%e3%81%a7%e8%aa%ac%e6%98%8e%e3%81%a7%e3%81%8d%e3%82%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/2026\/04\/06\/4328\/","title":{"rendered":"\u54f2\u5b66\u306f\u306a\u305c\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u63fa\u308c\u3092\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u306e\u304b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u76ee\u7684\u306f\u3001\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u3001\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u3001\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u3001\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u3001\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u3001\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u3001\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u304c\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u5225\u3005\u306b\u8ad6\u3058\u3066\u304d\u305f\u5185\u5bb9\u3092\u3001\u300c<a href=\"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/2026\/04\/05\/4318\/\">\u69cb\u9020\u306f\u6642\u9593\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3057\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u3068\u9078\u629e\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3057\u3001\u518d\u3073\u66f4\u65b0\u3055\u308c\u308b<\/a>\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5358\u4e00\u306e\u904e\u7a0b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u518d\u8a18\u8ff0\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3042\u308b<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref1\">[1]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref2\">[2]<\/a>\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067\u3044\u3046\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u3001\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u96d1\u306b\u524a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3080\u3057\u308d\u3001\u904b\u7528\u3084\u89b3\u6e2c\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u56e0\u679c\u69cb\u9020\u3060\u3051\u304c\u6b8b\u308b\u65b9\u5411\u3078\u306e\u5727\u7e2e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u306b\u7acb\u3064\u3068\u3001\u54f2\u5b66\u53f2\u306e\u591a\u304f\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u306f\u3001\u5b9f\u306f\u540c\u3058\u66f4\u65b0\u904e\u7a0b\u306e\u7570\u306a\u308b\u65ad\u9762\u3092\u5f37\u8abf\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3068\u8aad\u3081\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u672c\u7a3f\u3067\u306f\u3001\u307e\u305a\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u8a18\u8ff0\u3059\u308b\u6700\u5c0f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u3046\u3048\u3067<a href=\"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/2026\/02\/17\/3666\/\">\u5404\u54f2\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6<\/a>\u3092\u4e01\u5be7\u306b\u89e3\u8aac\u3057\u3001\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u5404\u81ea\u306e\u7acb\u5834\u304c\u3069\u306e\u6570\u5f0f\u306e\u3069\u306e\u9805\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3092\u6574\u7406\u3059\u308b\u3002\u500b\u5225\u601d\u60f3\u3092\u5358\u306b\u6bd4\u55a9\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4e26\u3079\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u72b6\u614b\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727\u3001\u524a\u6e1b\u3001\u6b6a\u307f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u64cd\u4f5c\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u69cb\u6210\u8981\u7d20\u3078\u5206\u89e3\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3001\u54f2\u5b66\u7684\u6d1e\u5bdf\u3092\u8a2d\u8a08\u8ad6\u3084\u5236\u5ea6\u8ad6\u3078\u63a5\u7d9a\u3067\u304d\u308b\u5f62\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u72d9\u3044\u3067\u3042\u308b<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref3\">[3]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref4\">[4]<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h2>1. \u5168\u4f53\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u2015\u2015\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3068\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3092\u540c\u4e00\u306e\u66f4\u65b0\u904e\u7a0b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7f6e\u304d\u76f4\u3059<\/h2>\n<p>\u307e\u305a\u3001\u6642\u523b \\(t\\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u69cb\u9020\u72b6\u614b\u3092 \\(S_t\\) \u3068\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5185\u90e8\u306b\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3068\u3082 4 \u3064\u306e\u91cf\u3001\u3059\u306a\u308f\u3061\u8907\u96d1\u3055 \\(C_t\\)\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027 \\(E_t\\)\u3001\u74b0\u5883\u9069\u5408\u5ea6 \\(F_t\\)\u3001\u8a8d\u77e5\u8ca0\u8377 \\(L_t\\) \u3092\u6301\u305f\u305b\u308b\u3002\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u306f\u5206\u5c90\u6570\u3084\u81ea\u7531\u5ea6\u306e\u591a\u3055\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u306a\u305c\u305d\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u3067\u52d5\u304f\u306e\u304b\u3092\u4e00\u8cab\u3057\u305f\u56e0\u679c\u3067\u8a18\u8ff0\u3067\u304d\u308b\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u74b0\u5883\u9069\u5408\u5ea6\u306f\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u5236\u7d04\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u9069\u5fdc\u306e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u8a8d\u77e5\u8ca0\u8377\u306f\u7406\u89e3\u3084\u7dad\u6301\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u51e6\u7406\u91cf\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3059\u308b\u3068\u6700\u5c0f\u72b6\u614b\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u66f8\u3051\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  S_t = (C_t, E_t, F_t, L_t)<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u72b6\u614b\u306f\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727 \\(G_t\\)\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u5165\u529b \\(O_t\\)\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u524a\u6e1b \\(R_t\\)\u3001\u6b6a\u307f \\(D_t\\) \u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u66f4\u65b0\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067\u6b6a\u307f \\( D_t \\) \u306f\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727 \\( G_t \\) \u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u8981\u56e0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4f5c\u7528\u3057\u3001\u904e\u5270\u306a\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u3092\u751f\u3080\u8981\u56e0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6271\u3046\u3002\u306a\u304a\u3001\u5404\u9805\u306f\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u5b9a\u7fa9\u7a7a\u9593\u304b\u3089 \\(S_t\\) \u3068\u540c\u578b\u306e\u7a7a\u9593\u3078\u5199\u50cf\u3055\u308c\u305f\u91cf\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6271\u3044\u3001\\(R_t\\) \u306f\u5404\u54f2\u5b66\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u305f\u5177\u4f53\u5f62 \\(R_t^{(\\cdot)}\\) \u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u4e0e\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002\u76f4\u611f\u7684\u306b\u306f\u3001\u672a\u6765\u304c\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u3067\u4e0d\u8db3\u304c\u6016\u3044\u307b\u3069\u69cb\u9020\u306f\u904e\u5270\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u904b\u7528\u306e\u89b3\u6e2c\u304c\u84c4\u7a4d\u3059\u308b\u307b\u3069\u4e0d\u8981\u5206\u5c90\u304c\u524a\u3089\u308c\u3001\u5236\u5ea6\u3084\u8a8d\u77e5\u306e\u6b6a\u307f\u304c\u5f37\u3044\u307b\u3069\u4e0d\u8981\u306a\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u304c\u6b8b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u6700\u5c0f\u66f4\u65b0\u5f0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u7f6e\u3051\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  S_{t+1} = S_t + G_t &#8211; R_t &#8211; D_t<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u305f\u3060\u3057 \\( D_t \\) \u306f \\( G_t \\) \u306e\u5909\u5f62\u3068\u306f\u5225\u306b\u3001\u524a\u6e1b \\( R_t \\) \u306e\u6709\u52b9\u6027\u3092\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3055\u305b\u308b\u6291\u5236\u9805\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u4f5c\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3068\u304d\u5404\u54f2\u5b66\u306f\u4e3b\u306b \\(R_t^{(\\cdot)}\\) \u307e\u305f\u306f\u66f4\u65b0\u904e\u7a0b\u306e\u5404\u69cb\u6210\u8981\u7d20\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067 \\(R_t\\) \u306f\u62bd\u8c61\u7684\u306a\u69cb\u9020\u524a\u6e1b\u9805\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u5404\u54f2\u5b66\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5177\u4f53\u5f62 \\(R_t^{(\\cdot)}\\) \u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727 \\(G_t\\) \u3092\u4e0d\u8db3\u56de\u907f \\(B_t\\) \u3068\u672a\u77e5\u74b0\u5883\u3078\u306e\u5099\u3048 \\(U_t\\) \u306b\u5206\u3051\u3001\u524a\u6e1b \\(R_t\\) \u3092\u89b3\u6e2c\u3068\u72b6\u614b\u304b\u3089\u91cd\u8981\u7d4c\u8def\u3060\u3051\u3092\u62bd\u51fa\u3059\u308b\u5199\u50cf \\(\\Phi\\) \u3067\u8868\u305b\u3070\u3001\u3088\u308a\u89e3\u91c8\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u5f62\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  G_t = \\alpha B_t + \\beta U_t<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  R_t^{(\\cdot)} = \\gamma_{\\cdot} \\Phi_{\\cdot}(S_t, O_t)<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  D_t = \\delta H_t<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u3067 \\(H_t\\) \u306f\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30ea\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u3001\u8a55\u4fa1\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u8cac\u4efb\u69cb\u9020\u3001\u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f\u306a\u3069\u3001\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u306b\u904e\u5270\u8a2d\u8a08\u3092\u6e29\u5b58\u3055\u305b\u308b\u8981\u56e0\u306e\u7dcf\u79f0\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5f62\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3068\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u5584\u60aa\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u540c\u4e00\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306e\u5225\u65b9\u5411\u306e\u529b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7406\u89e3\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u6210\u5206 \\(C_t\\) \u306b\u3060\u3051\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u5909\u5316\u306f\u632f\u52d5\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u66f8\u3051\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5f0f\u306f\u3001\u4e0a\u306e\u4e00\u6b21\u66f4\u65b0\u5f0f\u3092\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u6210\u5206 \\(C_t\\) \u306b\u5c04\u5f71\u3057\u3001\u6642\u9593\u5dee\u5206\u3067\u8868\u73fe\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  C_{t+1} &#8211; 2 C_t + C_{t-1} = a G_t &#8211; b R_t &#8211; c (C_t &#8211; C^*)<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u5f0f\u306e\u53f3\u8fba\u7b2c 1 \u9805\u306f\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3001\u7b2c 2 \u9805\u306f\u89b3\u6e2c\u306b\u3082\u3068\u3065\u304f\u6574\u7406\u3001\u7b2c 3 \u9805\u306f\u904e\u5c11\u3067\u3082\u904e\u5270\u3067\u3082\u62bc\u3057\u623b\u3059\u5fa9\u5143\u529b\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\\(C^*\\) \u306f\u305d\u306e\u5236\u5ea6\u3084\u8a2d\u8a08\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306e\u5b89\u5b9a\u8907\u96d1\u5ea6\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u632f\u52d5\u304c\u5341\u5206\u6e1b\u8870\u3057\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5404\u54f2\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u3092\u3053\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u5404\u9805\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u307f\u76f4\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u8981\u7d20<\/th>\n<th>\u5b9a\u7fa9<\/th>\n<th>\u5f79\u5272<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\\(S_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u6642\u523b \\(t\\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u69cb\u9020\u72b6\u614b<\/td>\n<td>\u69cb\u9020\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u72b6\u614b\u5909\u6570\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6271\u3046\u57fa\u790e\u67a0\u7d44\u307f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\\(G_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727<\/td>\n<td>\u4e0d\u8db3\u56de\u907f\u3084\u672a\u77e5\u74b0\u5883\u3078\u306e\u5099\u3048\u304c\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u5897\u6b96\u3055\u305b\u308b\u529b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\\(O_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u89b3\u6e2c\u5165\u529b<\/td>\n<td>\u904b\u7528\u3084\u74b0\u5883\u304b\u3089\u6d41\u5165\u3059\u308b\u73fe\u5b9f\u60c5\u5831<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\\(R_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u524a\u6e1b\u30fb\u7d71\u5408<\/td>\n<td>\u89b3\u6e2c\u306b\u3082\u3068\u3065\u304d\u4e0d\u8981\u5206\u5c90\u3092\u5727\u7e2e\u3059\u308b\u4f5c\u7528<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\\(D_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u6b6a\u307f<\/td>\n<td>\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3084\u5236\u5ea6\u5236\u7d04\u304c\u904e\u5270\u3092\u6b8b\u3059\u8981\u56e0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\\(C^*\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u5b89\u5b9a\u8907\u96d1\u5ea6<\/td>\n<td>\u7cfb\u304c\u53ce\u675f\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u306e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5024<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>2. \u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u2015\u2015\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3092\u672c\u8cea\u62bd\u51fa\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u3080<\/h2>\n<p>\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u306e\u5f37\u307f\u306f\u3001\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3092\u300c\u8981\u7d20\u6570\u306e\u524a\u6e1b\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3092\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u305f\u3089\u3057\u3081\u308b\u539f\u56e0\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u628a\u63e1\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u305f\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5f7c\u306e\u56db\u539f\u56e0\u8ad6\u3067\u306f\u3001\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61\u3092\u7406\u89e3\u3059\u308b\u3068\u306f\u3001\u7d20\u6750\u3060\u3051\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3082\u3001\u52d5\u304d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3060\u3051\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3082\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5f62\u76f8\u56e0\u3001\u8cea\u6599\u56e0\u3001\u4f5c\u7528\u56e0\u3001\u76ee\u7684\u56e0\u306e\u9023\u95a2\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5bfe\u8c61\u306e\u6210\u7acb\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3063\u305f<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref5\">[5]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref6\">[6]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref7\">[7]<\/a>\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7acb\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u3068\u306f\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u7121\u6570\u306e\u5c5e\u6027\u306e\u4e2d\u304b\u3089\u672c\u8cea\u7684\u306a\u56e0\u679c\u3060\u3051\u3092\u6b8b\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u89b3\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5b9a\u5f0f\u5316\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002\u69cb\u9020 \\(S_t\\) \u306b\u306f\u591a\u304f\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u3084\u5206\u5c90\u304c\u542b\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u3059\u3079\u3066\u304c\u8aac\u660e\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u89b3\u6e2c \\(O_t\\) \u306b\u7167\u3089\u3057\u3066\u3001\u6210\u7acb\u306b\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u306a\u56e0\u679c\u96c6\u5408 \\(K_t\\) \u3092\u62bd\u51fa\u3057\u3001\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u5916\u3092\u6368\u3066\u308b\u64cd\u4f5c\u304c\u672c\u8cea\u62bd\u51fa\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  K_t = \\operatorname{Ess}(S_t, O_t)<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  R_t^{(A)} = \\gamma_A \\bigl(S_t &#8211; K_t \\bigr)<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u3067 \\(\\operatorname{Ess}\\) \u306f essence \u3092\u8868\u3059\u6f14\u7b97\u5b50\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u306b\u8010\u3048\u308b\u672c\u8cea\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u3060\u3051\u3092\u9078\u3073\u51fa\u3059\u3002\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u7684\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3067\u306f\u3001\u524a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u81ea\u4f53\u304c\u76ee\u7684\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3080\u3057\u308d\u3001\u4f55\u3092\u6b8b\u3059\u3079\u304d\u304b\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u3053\u305d\u304c\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u70b9\u3067\u5f7c\u306e\u601d\u60f3\u306f\u3001\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b \\(\\Phi(S_t, O_t)\\) \u306e\u539f\u578b\u306b\u3042\u305f\u308b\u3002\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3068\u306f\u3001\u96d1\u97f3\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3057\u3066\u672c\u8cea\u3092\u6b8b\u3059\u64cd\u4f5c\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u306e\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u54f2\u5b66\u7684\u610f\u5473<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e0a\u306e\u542b\u610f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u56db\u539f\u56e0<\/td>\n<td>\u5bfe\u8c61\u6210\u7acb\u306e\u56e0\u679c\u9023\u95a2\u3092\u591a\u9762\u7684\u306b\u6349\u3048\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\u89b3\u6e2c\u306b\u8010\u3048\u308b\u539f\u56e0\u96c6\u5408 \\(K_t\\) \u306e\u62bd\u51fa<\/td>\n<td>\u8868\u9762\u7684\u6a5f\u80fd\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u6210\u7acb\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u6b8b\u3059<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u672c\u8cea<\/td>\n<td>\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3092\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u305f\u3089\u3057\u3081\u308b\u6838<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\operatorname{Ess}(S_t, O_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u4e0d\u8981\u5206\u5c90\u3092\u524a\u3063\u3066\u3082\u6838\u306f\u4fdd\u6301\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u8aac\u660e<\/td>\n<td>\u7f85\u5217\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u56e0\u679c\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u628a\u63e1<\/td>\n<td>\\(E_t\\) \u306e\u4e0a\u6607<\/td>\n<td>\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u8aac\u660e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6e2c\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>3. \u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u2015\u2015\u5206\u89e3\u3068\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u3092\u624b\u7d9a\u304d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u66f8\u304f<\/h2>\n<p>\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u306f\u300e\u65b9\u6cd5\u5e8f\u8aac\u300f\u3084\u95a2\u9023\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u8ad6\u7684\u8b70\u8ad6\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u306a\u554f\u984c\u3092\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3060\u3051\u591a\u304f\u306e\u90e8\u5206\u306b\u5206\u3051\u3001\u3088\u308a\u5bb9\u6613\u306a\u3082\u306e\u304b\u3089\u9806\u306b\u6271\u3044\u3001\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u70b9\u691c\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u624b\u7d9a\u304d\u3092\u63d0\u793a\u3057\u305f<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref8\">[8]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref9\">[9]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref10\">[10]<\/a>\u3002\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306e\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u304c\u7c97\u8996\u5316\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5206\u89e3\u3068\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u306e\u624b\u7d9a\u304d\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u6700\u521d\u306b\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u62b1\u3048\u305f\u307e\u307e\u51e6\u7406\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u69cb\u9020\u3078\u5207\u308a\u5206\u3051\u305f\u3046\u3048\u3067\u3001\u6574\u5408\u3059\u308b\u9806\u5e8f\u3067\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u610f\u5473\u3067\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u306f\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u3092\u7ba1\u7406\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u5358\u4f4d\u3078\u5909\u63db\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u8ad6\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u3092\u6570\u7406\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u69cb\u9020 \\(S_t\\) \u306f\u307e\u305a\u90e8\u5206\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u5217 \\(\\{s_t^{(i)}\\}\\) \u3078\u5206\u89e3\u3055\u308c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c \\(O_t\\) \u3068\u6574\u5408\u3059\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u518d\u7d71\u5408\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u7684\u524a\u6e1b\u306f 1 \u56de\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u7b97\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5206\u89e3\u6f14\u7b97 \\(D_{\\mathrm{cmp}}\\) \u3068\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u6f14\u7b97 \\(R_{\\mathrm{cmp}}\\) \u306e\u5408\u6210\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8868\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304c\u81ea\u7136\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  \\{ s_t^{(1)}, \\dots, s_t^{(n)} \\} = D_{\\mathrm{cmp}}(S_t)<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  \\widehat{S}_{t+1} = R_{\\mathrm{cmp}}(\\{ s_t^{(i)} \\}, O_t)<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  R_t^{(D)} = S_t &#8211; \\widehat{S}_{t+1}<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3068\u304d\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u5206\u89e3\u3055\u308c\u305f\u90e8\u5206\u304c\u89b3\u6e2c\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u5358\u4f4d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5206\u89e3\u306e\u4ed5\u65b9\u304c\u60aa\u3044\u3068\u3001\u904b\u7528\u6642\u306b\u3069\u3053\u3067\u6469\u64e6\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u304c\u898b\u3048\u305a\u3001\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u3082\u5931\u6557\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u8a2d\u8a08\u3092\u9759\u6b62\u3057\u305f\u5b8c\u6210\u54c1\u3068\u3057\u3066\u898b\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5206\u6790\u53ef\u80fd\u3067\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u5f62\u3078\u5909\u63db\u3059\u308b\u4f5c\u696d\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u73fe\u4ee3\u7684\u306b\u3044\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30e2\u30b8\u30e5\u30fc\u30eb\u5316\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u89b3\u6e2c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3001\u969c\u5bb3\u70b9\u306e\u540c\u5b9a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u5099\u3048\u305f\u8a2d\u8a08\u539f\u7406\u306b\u8fd1\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u306e\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u54f2\u5b66\u7684\u610f\u5473<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e0a\u306e\u542b\u610f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5206\u6790<\/td>\n<td>\u8907\u96d1\u306a\u554f\u984c\u3092\u90e8\u5206\u3078\u5206\u89e3\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(D_{\\mathrm{cmp}}(S_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u885d\u7a81\u70b9\u3092\u5c40\u6240\u5316\u3067\u304d\u308b\u69cb\u9020\u306b\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u7dcf\u5408<\/td>\n<td>\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u9806\u5e8f\u304b\u3089\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(R_{\\mathrm{cmp}}(\\{ s_t^{(i)} \\}, O_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u9806\u5e8f\u3092\u8a2d\u8a08\u306b\u57cb\u3081\u8fbc\u3080<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u679a\u6319\u3068\u70b9\u691c<\/td>\n<td>\u898b\u843d\u3068\u3057\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3059\u624b\u7d9a\u304d<\/td>\n<td>\u518d\u69cb\u6210\u5f8c\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u691c\u8a3c<\/td>\n<td>\u89b3\u6e2c\u3068\u7167\u5408\u3057\u3066\u8a2d\u8a08\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>4. \u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u2015\u2015\u77db\u76fe\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u306e\u99c6\u52d5\u529b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u3080<\/h2>\n<p>\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u306e\u8981\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u304c\u9759\u6b62\u3057\u305f\u540c\u4e00\u6027\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5185\u90e8\u306e\u5bfe\u7acb\u3084\u77db\u76fe\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u904b\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref11\">[11]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref12\">[12]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref13\">[13]<\/a>\u3002\u77db\u76fe\u306f\u5358\u306a\u308b\u7834\u7dbb\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u6b21\u306e\u7d71\u5408\u3078\u5411\u304b\u3046\u5951\u6a5f\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u3092\u5236\u5ea6\u3084\u8a2d\u8a08\u306b\u79fb\u3059\u3068\u3001\u521d\u671f\u8a2d\u8a08\u3068\u904b\u7528\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u885d\u7a81\u3001\u76ee\u6a19\u3068\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\u306e\u885d\u7a81\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u6700\u9069\u3068\u5168\u4f53\u6700\u9069\u306e\u885d\u7a81\u306f\u3001\u3059\u3079\u3066\u66f4\u65b0\u306e\u5165\u529b\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u5931\u6557\u3084\u6469\u64e6\u306f\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u304c\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u89e6\u308c\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306b\u751f\u3058\u308b\u8aa4\u5dee\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u3053\u305d\u304c\u6b21\u306e\u8a2d\u8a08\u3092\u99c6\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6570\u7406\u7684\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u306e\u8981\u70b9\u306f 2 \u968e\u5dee\u5206\u3067\u66f8\u304f\u3068\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u5909\u5316\u91cf\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5909\u5316\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3001\u3059\u306a\u308f\u3061\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u304c\u3001\u5bfe\u7acb\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u751f\u3058\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u8907\u96d1\u5316 \\(G_t\\) \u3068\u524a\u6e1b \\(R_t\\) \u304c\u91e3\u308a\u5408\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u304d\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5dee\u304c\u69cb\u9020\u632f\u52d5\u3092\u751f\u3080\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  \\Delta^2 C_t = C_{t+1} &#8211; 2 C_t + C_{t-1}<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u6b62\u63da\u3092\u300c\u5426\u5b9a\u3057\u3064\u3064\u4fdd\u5b58\u3059\u308b\u300d\u64cd\u4f5c\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3059\u306a\u3089\u3001\u5b8c\u5168\u524a\u9664\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u91cd\u8981\u90e8\u5206\u3092\u4fdd\u6301\u3057\u305f\u518d\u7d71\u5408\u3068\u3057\u3066\u66f8\u3051\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  S_{t+1} = \\operatorname{Auf}(S_t, O_t)<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  \\operatorname{Core}(S_t) \\subseteq S_{t+1}, \\quad S_{t+1} \\neq S_t<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u3067 \\(\\operatorname{Auf}\\) \u306f Aufhebung \u3092\u8868\u3059\u6f14\u7b97\u5b50\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u65e7\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u6838\u3092\u4fdd\u5b58\u3057\u3064\u3064\u3001\u77db\u76fe\u3092\u89e3\u6d88\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u5411\u3078\u518d\u7de8\u6210\u3059\u308b\u3002\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u7684\u306a\u8996\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3092\u300c\u6e1b\u3089\u3059\u3053\u3068\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u77db\u76fe\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u9ad8\u6b21\u306e\u6574\u5408\u6027\u3092\u5f97\u308b\u3053\u3068\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u3080\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u306e\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u54f2\u5b66\u7684\u610f\u5473<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e0a\u306e\u542b\u610f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u77db\u76fe<\/td>\n<td>\u767a\u5c55\u306e\u5951\u6a5f<\/td>\n<td>\\(a G_t &#8211; b R_t\\) \u306e\u4e0d\u5747\u8861<\/td>\n<td>\u904b\u7528\u6469\u64e6\u3092\u6539\u5584\u5165\u529b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6271\u3046<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u904b\u52d5<\/td>\n<td>\u540c\u4e00\u6027\u3088\u308a\u3082\u6642\u9593\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\u3092\u91cd\u8996\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\Delta^2 C_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u8a2d\u8a08\u3092\u9759\u6b62\u7269\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u904e\u7a0b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u898b\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u6b62\u63da<\/td>\n<td>\u5426\u5b9a\u3057\u3064\u3064\u4fdd\u5b58\u3057\u9ad8\u6b21\u7d71\u5408\u3078\u9032\u3080<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\operatorname{Auf}(S_t, O_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u524a\u6e1b\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u7d71\u5408\u3068\u3057\u3066\u66f4\u65b0\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>5. \u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u2015\u2015\u9078\u629e\u5727\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6dd8\u6c70\u3068\u3057\u3066\u66f8\u304f<\/h2>\n<p>\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u306e\u81ea\u7136\u9078\u629e\u306f\u3001\u5909\u7570\u306e\u767a\u751f\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3001\u74b0\u5883\u304c\u3069\u306e\u5909\u7570\u3092\u6b8b\u3057\u3069\u306e\u5909\u7570\u3092\u6d88\u3059\u304b\u306b\u672c\u8cea\u304c\u3042\u308b<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref14\">[14]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref15\">[15]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref16\">[16]<\/a>\u3002\u3053\u306e\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u3092\u69cb\u9020\u4e00\u822c\u3078\u62e1\u5f35\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u521d\u671f\u8a2d\u8a08\u304c\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5206\u5c90\u3084\u4f59\u5270\u6a5f\u80fd\u3092\u6301\u3064\u3053\u3068\u81ea\u4f53\u306f\u4e0d\u81ea\u7136\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306e\u5019\u88dc\u306e\u3046\u3061\u3001\u904b\u7528\u74b0\u5883\u306b\u9069\u5fdc\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3051\u304c\u6b8b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u7684\u8996\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u7406\u6027\u304c\u4e0a\u304b\u3089\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u74b0\u5883\u3068\u306e\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u9069\u5408\u5ea6\u306e\u4f4e\u3044\u5206\u5c90\u304c\u6dd8\u6c70\u3055\u308c\u308b\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u751f\u3058\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6570\u7406\u5316\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u5404\u90e8\u5206 \\(s_t^{(i)}\\) \u306b\u9069\u5408\u5ea6 \\(f_i(O_t)\\) \u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3001\u751f\u5b58\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u6e80\u305f\u3059\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3051\u3092\u6b8b\u305b\u3070\u3088\u3044\u3002\u95be\u5024 \\(\\theta\\) \u3092\u8d85\u3048\u306a\u3044\u90e8\u5206\u306f\u6642\u9593\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u524a\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  f_i = f(s_t^{(i)}, O_t)<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  s_{t+1}^{(i)} =<br \/>\n  \\begin{cases}<br \/>\n  s_t^{(i)} &#038; \\text{if } f_i \\ge \\theta \\\\<br \/>\n  0 &#038; \\text{if } f_i < \\theta\n  \\end{cases}\n  \\]\n  \\[\n  R_t^{(\\mathrm{Darwin})} = \\sum_i s_t^{(i)} \\mathbf{1}[f_i < \\theta]\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u5f62\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u9069\u5408\u5ea6\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304f\u9078\u629e\u5727\u306e\u526f\u7523\u7269\u3068\u3057\u3066\u73fe\u308c\u308b\u3002\u4e0d\u8981\u5206\u5c90\u306f\u300c\u4e0d\u8981\u3060\u304b\u3089\u300d\u6d88\u3048\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u9069\u5fdc\u4e0a\u306e\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u3092\u6255\u3044\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u3060\u3051\u306e\u4fa1\u5024\u304c\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3089\u6d88\u3048\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u7684\u8996\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u8a2d\u8a08\u3084\u5236\u5ea6\u306e\u66f4\u65b0\u3092\u6700\u521d\u304b\u3089\u6700\u9069\u5316\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5b8c\u6210\u5f62\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5019\u88dc\u751f\u6210\u3068\u74b0\u5883\u9078\u629e\u306e\u53cd\u5fa9\u904e\u7a0b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7406\u89e3\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u306e\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u54f2\u5b66\u7684\u610f\u5473<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e0a\u306e\u542b\u610f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5909\u7570<\/td>\n<td>\u5019\u88dc\u306e\u591a\u69d8\u6027<\/td>\n<td>\u521d\u671f\u306e\u9ad8\u3044 \\(C_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u521d\u671f\u904e\u5270\u3092\u7570\u5e38\u3068\u898b\u306a\u3055\u306a\u3044<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u81ea\u7136\u9078\u629e<\/td>\n<td>\u74b0\u5883\u304c\u5019\u88dc\u3092\u9078\u5225\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(f_i\\) \u3068\u95be\u5024 \\(\\theta\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u904b\u7528\u74b0\u5883\u3067\u4e0d\u8981\u5206\u5c90\u304c\u6dd8\u6c70\u3055\u308c\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u9069\u5fdc<\/td>\n<td>\u6b8b\u308b\u69cb\u9020\u306f\u74b0\u5883\u6761\u4ef6\u306b\u9069\u5fdc\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(F_t\\) \u306e\u4e0a\u6607<\/td>\n<td>\u6210\u719f\u69cb\u9020\u306f\u9078\u629e\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u751f\u3058\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>6. \u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u2015\u2015\u89b3\u6e2c\u306f\u5206\u6563\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u4e2d\u592e\u306f\u5168\u77e5\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044<\/h2>\n<p>\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u306e\u6838\u5fc3\u306f\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u77e5\u8b58\u306f\u4e2d\u592e\u306b\u4e00\u62ec\u3057\u3066\u96c6\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u7684\u3067\u65ad\u7247\u7684\u306a\u5f62\u3067\u5206\u6563\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref17\">[17]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref18\">[18]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref19\">[19]<\/a>\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4e3b\u5f35\u306f\u3001\u8a2d\u8a08\u304c\u306a\u305c\u521d\u671f\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u904e\u5270\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u304b\u3092\u3088\u304f\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u306f\u672a\u6765\u306e\u5229\u7528\u983b\u5ea6\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u306e\u904b\u7528\u5236\u7d04\u3001\u73fe\u5834\u306e\u6697\u9ed9\u77e5\u3001\u4f8b\u5916\u51e6\u7406\u306e\u5b9f\u983b\u5ea6\u3092\u4e8b\u524d\u306b\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u306f\u77e5\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002\u77e5\u3089\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3089\u3053\u305d\u3001\u7db2\u7f85\u8a2d\u8a08\u304c\u9078\u3070\u308c\u3084\u3059\u304f\u3001\u5206\u5c90\u304c\u81a8\u5f35\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u904e\u5270\u306f\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u5c40\u6240\u89b3\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3057\u304b\u524a\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6570\u7406\u7684\u306b\u306f\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c \\(O_t\\) \u3092\u4e2d\u592e\u306e\u5358\u4e00\u5165\u529b\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u89b3\u6e2c\u306e\u548c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8868\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5404\u90e8\u5206\u7cfb \\(i\\) \u304c\u7570\u306a\u308b\u5236\u7d04\u3068\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u6301\u3064\u306a\u3089\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u66f8\u3051\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  O_t = \\sum_{i=1}^{n} O_t^{(i)}<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u4e2d\u592e\u304c\u76f4\u63a5\u6271\u3048\u308b\u306e\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5168\u4f53\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u96c6\u7d04\u3055\u308c\u305f\u8fd1\u4f3c \\(\\widetilde{O}_t\\) \u306b\u3059\u304e\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  \\widetilde{O}_t = \\mathcal{A}(O_t^{(1)}, \\dots, O_t^{(n)})<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  \\widetilde{O}_t \\neq O_t<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u5dee\u5206\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u307b\u3069\u3001\u4e2d\u592e\u8a2d\u8a08\u306f\u73fe\u5b9f\u304b\u3089\u305a\u308c\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u3092\u9069\u5207\u306b\u524a\u6e1b\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u7684\u8996\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066 \\(O_t\\) \u306e\u69cb\u9020\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3092\u898f\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3002\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u4e2d\u592e\u306e\u597d\u307f\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5206\u6563\u3057\u305f\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u5236\u7d04\u304c\u62bc\u3057\u8fd4\u3057\u3066\u304f\u308b\u7d50\u679c\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u56de\u8def\u304c\u5236\u5ea6\u306b\u57cb\u3081\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u304c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u306e\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u793e\u4f1a\u7406\u8ad6\u4e0a\u306e\u610f\u5473<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e0a\u306e\u542b\u610f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u77e5\u8b58\u306e\u5206\u6563<\/td>\n<td>\u5fc5\u8981\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u5c40\u6240\u306b\u6563\u5728\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(O_t = \\sum_i O_t^{(i)}\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u4e2d\u592e\u8a2d\u8a08\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u5341\u5206\u306b\u524a\u6e1b\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5c40\u6240\u77e5<\/td>\n<td>\u6697\u9ed9\u77e5\u3084\u73fe\u5834\u77e5\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u3067\u3042\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\widetilde{O}_t \\neq O_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u96c6\u7d04\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u524d\u63d0\u306b\u5236\u5ea6\u3092\u8a2d\u8a08\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u81ea\u751f\u7684\u79e9\u5e8f<\/td>\n<td>\u79e9\u5e8f\u306f\u5c40\u6240\u66f4\u65b0\u306e\u96c6\u7a4d\u3067\u751f\u3058\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\u5206\u6563\u89b3\u6e2c\u3092\u901a\u3058\u305f \\(R_t\\) \u306e\u767a\u751f<\/td>\n<td>\u89b3\u6e2c\u56de\u8def\u3092\u5236\u5ea6\u306b\u57cb\u3081\u8fbc\u3080\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>7. \u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u2015\u2015\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u306e\u7e2e\u5c0f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306e\u5358\u7d14\u5316<\/h2>\n<p>\u30cf\u30fc\u30d0\u30fc\u30c8\u30fb\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u306f\u3001\u4eba\u9593\u3084\u7d44\u7e54\u306e\u5408\u7406\u6027\u304c\u7121\u5236\u7d04\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u8a08\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u60c5\u5831\u53d6\u5f97\u3001\u6642\u9593\u3001\u6ce8\u610f\u306b\u5236\u7d04\u3055\u308c\u305f\u9650\u5b9a\u5408\u7406\u6027\u3068\u3057\u3066\u50cd\u304f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref20\">[20]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref21\">[21]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref22\">[22]<\/a>\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7acb\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3001\u8a2d\u8a08\u3068\u306f\u6700\u9069\u89e3\u3092 1 \u56de\u3067\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u4f5c\u696d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3080\u3057\u308d\u3001\u5e83\u3059\u304e\u308b\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u306e\u4e2d\u304b\u3089\u3001\u5341\u5206\u826f\u3044\u89e3\u306b\u5f90\u3005\u306b\u53ce\u675f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304f\u904e\u7a0b\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u521d\u671f\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u5019\u88dc\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u672a\u719f\u3055\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u540c\u6642\u306b\u3001\u63a2\u7d22\u306e\u5408\u7406\u7684\u5e30\u7d50\u3067\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6570\u7406\u5316\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5019\u88dc\u96c6\u5408 \\(X_t\\) \u3092\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u3068\u3057\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u3068\u7d4c\u9a13\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u305d\u306e\u96c6\u5408\u304c\u7e2e\u5c0f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308c\u3070\u3088\u3044\u3002\u6e80\u8db3\u5316\u306f\u6700\u9069\u5024\u306e\u63a2\u7d22\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u95be\u5024 \\(\\eta_t\\) \u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u63a2\u7d22\u3092\u7d42\u4e86\u3059\u308b\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8868\u73fe\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  X_{t+1} = \\Psi(X_t, O_t), \\quad X_{t+1} \\subseteq X_t<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3068\u304d\u3001\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u5019\u88dc\u96c6\u5408\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u7684\u5727\u7e2e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u300c\u6700\u9069\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u5236\u7d04\u4e0b\u3067\u5341\u5206\u826f\u3044\u300d\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u672c\u7a3f\u306e \\(G_t\\) \u3092\u5019\u88dc\u4fdd\u6301\u3001\\(R_t\\) \u3092\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u53ce\u7e2e\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u307f\u66ff\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3002\u89b3\u6e2c\u304c\u84c4\u7a4d\u3059\u308b\u307b\u3069\u3001\u6b8b\u3059\u3079\u304d\u5206\u5c90\u306f\u6e1b\u308a\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u306f\u3088\u308a\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u5f62\u3078\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u306e\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u7406\u8ad6\u7684\u610f\u5473<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e0a\u306e\u542b\u610f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u9650\u5b9a\u5408\u7406\u6027<\/td>\n<td>\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306f\u5236\u7d04\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6761\u4ef6\u3067\u884c\u308f\u308c\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(L_t\\) \u3068\u60c5\u5831\u5236\u7d04\u306e\u5c0e\u5165<\/td>\n<td>\u6700\u521d\u304b\u3089\u6700\u9069\u8a2d\u8a08\u306f\u671f\u5f85\u3057\u306a\u3044<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u6e80\u8db3\u5316<\/td>\n<td>\u5341\u5206\u826f\u3044\u89e3\u3067\u63a2\u7d22\u3092\u6253\u3061\u5207\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(U(x \\mid O_t) \\ge \\eta_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u6539\u5584\u306f\u6bb5\u968e\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7ba1\u7406\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u306e\u7e2e\u5c0f<\/td>\n<td>\u89b3\u6e2c\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u5019\u88dc\u96c6\u5408\u304c\u6e1b\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(X_{t+1} \\subseteq X_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u63a2\u7d22\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u751f\u3058\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>8. \u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u2015\u2015\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3092\u751f\u3080\u8a8d\u77e5\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u8fbc\u3080<\/h2>\n<p>\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u3068\u30c8\u30f4\u30a7\u30eb\u30b9\u30ad\u30fc\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u4eba\u9593\u304c\u5358\u7d14\u306b\u5408\u7406\u7684\u6700\u9069\u5316\u4e3b\u4f53\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f\u3001\u5229\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3001\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u306a\u3069\u306e\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30ea\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u306b\u5f37\u304f\u5f71\u97ff\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b<a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref23\">[23]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref24\">[24]<\/a><a class=\"ref\" href=\"#ref25\">[25]<\/a>\u3002\u8a2d\u8a08\u3084\u5236\u5ea6\u904b\u7528\u306e\u6587\u8108\u3067\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u306f\u300c\u8db3\u308a\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3089\u56f0\u308b\u300d\u300c\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u554f\u308f\u308c\u305f\u304f\u306a\u3044\u300d\u300c\u4f8b\u5916\u3092\u6f70\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304d\u305f\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u65b9\u5411\u306b\u50cd\u304d\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u521d\u671f\u8a2d\u8a08\u3067\u306f\u6a5f\u80fd\u3084\u5206\u5c90\u304c\u904e\u5270\u306b\u7a4d\u307f\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u6b6a\u307f\u306f\u3001\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727 \\(G_t\\) \u3092\u5909\u5f62\u3057\u305f \\(G_t&#8217;\\) \u3068\u3057\u3066\u4f5c\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3002\u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f\u304c\u5f37\u3044\u307b\u3069\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727\u306f\u5b9f\u969b\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u5927\u304d\u304f\u898b\u7a4d\u3082\u3089\u308c\u3001\u540c\u6642\u306b\u4e0d\u8981\u5206\u5c90\u306e\u524a\u6e1b\u3082\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u306b\u96e3\u3057\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3002\u7c21\u5358\u306a\u5f62\u306a\u3089\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727\u306e\u6709\u52b9\u5024\u3092\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u66f8\u3051\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  G_t^{\\prime} = \\alpha B_t + \\beta U_t + \\lambda \\operatorname{LossBias}_t<br \/>\n  \\]<br \/>\n  \\[<br \/>\n  D_t^{(K)} = \\delta_1 \\operatorname{LossBias}_t + \\delta_2 \\operatorname{Heuristic}_t<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u3067 \\(\\operatorname{LossBias}_t\\) \u306f\u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u3001\\(\\operatorname{Heuristic}_t\\) \u306f\u5229\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3084\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u306a\u3069\u306e\u8fd1\u9053\u5224\u65ad\u306e\u7dcf\u91cf\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u3092\u5165\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u306a\u305c\u7d44\u7e54\u3084\u4eba\u9593\u304c\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u904e\u5270\u306a\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u4fdd\u6301\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u306e\u304b\u3092\u3001\u5358\u306a\u308b\u7121\u80fd\u8ad6\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u8a8d\u77e5\u306e\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u50be\u5411\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u304c\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u306e\u306f\u3001\u4e0d\u8981\u5206\u5c90\u304c\u6a5f\u80fd\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u524a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u306b\u300c\u640d\u300d\u306b\u898b\u3048\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u306e\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u610f\u5473<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e0a\u306e\u542b\u610f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f<\/td>\n<td>\u640d\u5931\u306f\u540c\u984d\u306e\u5229\u5f97\u3088\u308a\u91cd\u304f\u611f\u3058\u3089\u308c\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\lambda \\operatorname{LossBias}_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u4e0d\u8db3\u56de\u907f\u304c\u904e\u5270\u8a2d\u8a08\u3092\u751f\u307f\u3084\u3059\u3044<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30ea\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af<\/td>\n<td>\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u8fd1\u9053\u306b\u4f9d\u5b58\u3059\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\operatorname{Heuristic}_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u8a2d\u8a08\u66f4\u65b0\u304c\u504f\u3063\u305f\u89b3\u6e2c\u306b\u5f15\u3063\u5f35\u3089\u308c\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u975e\u5bfe\u79f0\u8a55\u4fa1<\/td>\n<td>\u524a\u308b\u640d\u5931\u304c\u8ffd\u52a0\u3059\u308b\u5229\u76ca\u3088\u308a\u5927\u304d\u304f\u898b\u3048\u308b<\/td>\n<td>\\(D_t^{(K)}\\) \u306e\u5897\u5927<\/td>\n<td>\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3092\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u306b\u652f\u63f4\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>9. \u54f2\u5b66\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u7d71\u5408\u2015\u2015\u540c\u4e00\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u306e\u7570\u306a\u308b\u65ad\u9762\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u3080<\/h2>\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u307e\u3067\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u3092\u6574\u7406\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5404\u54f2\u5b66\u8005\u306f\u5225\u3005\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u50cf\u3092\u8a9e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u540c\u4e00\u306e\u66f4\u65b0\u904e\u7a0b\u306e\u7570\u306a\u308b\u9805\u3092\u5f37\u8abf\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u7406\u89e3\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u306f\u4f55\u3092\u6b8b\u3059\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u672c\u8cea\u62bd\u51fa\u3092\u3001\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u306f\u3069\u3046\u5206\u3051\u3066\u3069\u3046\u7d44\u307f\u76f4\u3059\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u624b\u7d9a\u304d\u3092\u3001\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u306f\u77db\u76fe\u304c\u66f4\u65b0\u3092\u99c6\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u6642\u9593\u6027\u3092\u3001\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u306f\u74b0\u5883\u9078\u629e\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6dd8\u6c70\u3092\u3001\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u306f\u89b3\u6e2c\u306e\u5206\u6563\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u3001\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u306f\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u306e\u7e2e\u5c0f\u3068\u6e80\u8db3\u5316\u3092\u3001\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u306f\u904e\u5270\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3055\u305b\u308b\u8a8d\u77e5\u6b6a\u307f\u3092\u4e3b\u984c\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u3092\u7d71\u5408\u3057\u305f\u5168\u4f53\u5f0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u518d\u8a18\u8ff0\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"math-block\">\n  \\[<br \/>\n  S_{t+1}<br \/>\n  =<br \/>\n  S_t<br \/>\n  +<br \/>\n  \\underbrace{(\\alpha B_t + \\beta U_t + \\lambda \\operatorname{LossBias}_t)}_{\\text{\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u5727}}<br \/>\n  +<br \/>\n  \\underbrace{\\sum_i O_t^{(i)}}_{\\text{\u5206\u6563\u89b3\u6e2c}}<br \/>\n  &#8211;<br \/>\n  \\underbrace{\\gamma \\Phi(S_t, O_t)}_{\\text{\u672c\u8cea\u62bd\u51fa\u30fb\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u7e2e\u5c0f\u30fb\u6dd8\u6c70}}<br \/>\n  &#8211;<br \/>\n  \\underbrace{\\delta H_t}_{\\text{\u8a8d\u77e5\u7684\u30fb\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u6b6a\u307f}}<br \/>\n  \\]\n<\/div>\n<p>\u3053\u306e 1 \u884c\u306e\u4e2d\u306b\u3001\u5404\u54f2\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u306f\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3065\u3051\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u3001\u54f2\u5b66\u53f2\u3092\u7d71\u4e00\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u3078\u9084\u5143\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3088\u308a\u3001\u3082\u3068\u3082\u3068\u7570\u306a\u308b\u8a9e\u5f59\u3067\u8a9e\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f\u66f4\u65b0\u904e\u7a0b\u3092\u3001\u72b6\u614b\u9077\u79fb\u3068\u3057\u3066\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u306f\u524a\u6e1b\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u60c5\u5831\u62bd\u51fa\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u306f\u5931\u6557\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u63a2\u7d22\u306e\u524d\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u77db\u76fe\u3084\u6469\u64e6\u3084\u504f\u308a\u306f\u3001\u3059\u3079\u3066\u69cb\u9020\u66f4\u65b0\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3065\u3051\u76f4\u305b\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u54f2\u5b66\u8005<\/th>\n<th>\u4e2d\u6838\u6982\u5ff5<\/th>\n<th>\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e0a\u306e\u4e3b\u5bfe\u5fdc<\/th>\n<th>\u5bfe\u5fdc\u9805\uff08\u7c21\u7d04\u8868\u73fe\uff09<\/th>\n<th>\u5f79\u5272<\/th>\n<th>\u4e00\u8a00\u3067\u8a00\u3048\u3070\u4f55\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9<\/td>\n<td>\u672c\u8cea\u3068\u539f\u56e0<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\Phi(S_t, O_t)\\), \\(K_t = \\operatorname{Ess}(S_t, O_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\\(R_t = \\Phi(S_t, O_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u672c\u8cea\u62bd\u51fa\uff08\u56e0\u679c\u5727\u7e2e\uff09<\/td>\n<td>\u4f55\u3092\u6b8b\u3059\u3079\u304d\u304b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8<\/td>\n<td>\u5206\u6790\u3068\u7dcf\u5408<\/td>\n<td>\\(D_{\\mathrm{cmp}}\\), \\(R_{\\mathrm{cmp}}\\)<\/td>\n<td>\\(D_{\\mathrm{cmp}}, R_{\\mathrm{cmp}}\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u5206\u89e3\u3068\u518d\u69cb\u6210<\/td>\n<td>\u3069\u3046\u5206\u3051\u3066\u3069\u3046\u7d44\u307f\u76f4\u3059\u304b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb<\/td>\n<td>\u77db\u76fe\u3068\u6b62\u63da<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\Delta^2 C_t\\), \\(\\operatorname{Auf}(S_t, O_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\\(\\Delta^2 C_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u5bfe\u7acb\u306b\u3088\u308b\u632f\u52d5<\/td>\n<td>\u306a\u305c\u69cb\u9020\u304c\u63fa\u308c\u306a\u304c\u3089\u9032\u3080\u304b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3<\/td>\n<td>\u81ea\u7136\u9078\u629e\u3068\u9069\u5fdc<\/td>\n<td>\\(f_i\\), \\(\\theta\\)<\/td>\n<td>\\(f_i, \\theta\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u9078\u629e\u5727\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6dd8\u6c70<\/td>\n<td>\u4f55\u304c\u74b0\u5883\u306b\u6b8b\u3055\u308c\u308b\u304b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af<\/td>\n<td>\u77e5\u8b58\u306e\u5206\u6563<\/td>\n<td>\\(O_t = \\sum_i O_t^{(i)}\\)<\/td>\n<td>\\(O_t = \\sum_i O_t^{(i)}\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u5206\u6563\u89b3\u6e2c<\/td>\n<td>\u89b3\u6e2c\u304c\u3069\u3053\u306b\u3042\u308b\u304b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3<\/td>\n<td>\u9650\u5b9a\u5408\u7406\u6027\u3068\u6e80\u8db3\u5316<\/td>\n<td>\\(X_{t+1} = \\Psi(X_t, O_t)\\)<\/td>\n<td>\\(X_{t+1} \\subseteq X_t\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u306e\u53ce\u7e2e<\/td>\n<td>\u3069\u3046\u63a2\u7d22\u7a7a\u9593\u304c\u7e2e\u3080\u304b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3<\/td>\n<td>\u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f\u3068\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30ea\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af<\/td>\n<td>\\(G_t^{\\prime}\\), \\(D_t^{(K)}\\)<\/td>\n<td>\\(D_t, \\text{LossBias}\\)<\/td>\n<td>\u8a8d\u77e5\u6b6a\u307f<\/td>\n<td>\u306a\u305c\u904e\u5270\u304c\u6b8b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u304b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<h2>10. \u7d50\u8ad6\u2015\u2015\u54f2\u5b66\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u3080<\/h2>\n<p>\u672c\u7a3f\u3067\u793a\u3057\u305f\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u54f2\u5b66\u306e\u500b\u5225\u6982\u5ff5\u3092\u6570\u5f0f\u3078\u96d1\u306b\u7ffb\u8a33\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u54f2\u5b66\u8005\u305f\u3061\u304c\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u898b\u3066\u3044\u305f\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u306f\u300c\u69cb\u9020\u304c\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3057\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u3068\u9078\u629e\u3067\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3057\u3001\u77db\u76fe\u3068\u6b6a\u307f\u3092\u542b\u307f\u306a\u304c\u3089\u66f4\u65b0\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5358\u4e00\u306e\u52d5\u614b\u306b\u53ce\u307e\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u306f\u672c\u8cea\u3092\u3001\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u306f\u624b\u7d9a\u304d\u3092\u3001\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u306f\u904b\u52d5\u3092\u3001\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u306f\u9078\u629e\u3092\u3001\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u306f\u5206\u6563\u77e5\u3092\u3001\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u306f\u63a2\u7d22\u5236\u7d04\u3092\u3001\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u306f\u8a8d\u77e5\u306e\u504f\u308a\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u305d\u3057\u3066\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306f\u3001\u5168\u4f53\u3068\u3057\u3066\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u66f4\u65b0\u306e\u5225\u3005\u306e\u5074\u9762\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u3053\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u3055\u3089\u306b\u767a\u5c55\u3055\u305b\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3001\u6b21\u306b\u3084\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3053\u3068\u306f 3 \u3064\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u7b2c 1 \u306b\u3001\\(\\Phi\\) \u3092\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5727\u7e2e\u3084\u56e0\u679c\u62bd\u51fa\u6f14\u7b97\u3068\u3057\u3066\u53b3\u5bc6\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3002\u7b2c 2 \u306b\u3001\\(O_t\\) \u306e\u5206\u6563\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u30cd\u30c3\u30c8\u30ef\u30fc\u30af\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3002\u7b2c 3 \u306b\u3001\\(\\operatorname{LossBias}_t\\) \u3084 \\(L_t\\) \u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u30fb\u8a8d\u77e5\u7684\u9805\u3092\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u3084\u904b\u7528\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u63a5\u7d9a\u3067\u304d\u308b\u5f62\u3078\u843d\u3068\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u305d\u3053\u307e\u3067\u9032\u3081\u3070\u3001\u54f2\u5b66\u306f\u5358\u306a\u308b\u89e3\u91c8\u53f2\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u66f4\u65b0\u3092\u6271\u3046\u4e00\u822c\u7406\u8ad6\u306e\u8a9e\u5f59\u3068\u3057\u3066\u518d\u5229\u7528\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h2>\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/h2>\n<ol class=\"references refs\">\n<li id=\"ref1\">id774, \u69cb\u9020\u632f\u52d5\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3059\u308b\uff082026-04-05\uff09. <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/2026\/04\/05\/4318\/\">https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/2026\/04\/05\/4318\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref2\">Michael Beaney, Analysis, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. <a 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A. Hayek, The Use of Knowledge in Society, Econlib. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.econlib.org\/library\/Essays\/hykKnw.html\">https:\/\/www.econlib.org\/library\/Essays\/hykKnw.html<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref19\">Markets, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. <a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/archives\/fall2025\/entries\/markets\/\">https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/archives\/fall2025\/entries\/markets\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref20\">Gerd Gigerenzer and Reinhard Selten eds., Bounded Rationality, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy entry overview. <a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/bounded-rationality\/\">https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/bounded-rationality\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref21\">Carl Mitcham, Philosophy of Technology, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. <a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/technology\/\">https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/technology\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref22\">Herbert A. Simon, The Sciences of the Artificial, Internet Archive lending preview reference page. <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.org\/details\/sciencesofartifi0000simo\">https:\/\/archive.org\/details\/sciencesofartifi0000simo<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref23\">Prospect theory, Encyclopaedia Britannica. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/topic\/prospect-theory\">https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/topic\/prospect-theory<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref24\">Daniel Kahneman, Encyclopaedia Britannica. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/biography\/Daniel-Kahneman\">https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/biography\/Daniel-Kahneman<\/a><\/li>\n<li id=\"ref25\">Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Internet Archive lending preview reference page. <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.org\/details\/thinkingfastslow0000kahn\">https:\/\/archive.org\/details\/thinkingfastslow0000kahn<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u7a3f\u306e\u76ee\u7684\u306f\u3001\u30a2\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u30c6\u30ec\u30b9\u3001\u30c7\u30ab\u30eb\u30c8\u3001\u30d8\u30fc\u30b2\u30eb\u3001\u30c0\u30fc\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u3001\u30cf\u30a4\u30a8\u30af\u3001\u30b5\u30a4\u30e2\u30f3\u3001\u30ab\u30fc\u30f3\u30de\u30f3\u304c\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u5225\u3005\u306b\u8ad6\u3058\u3066\u304d\u305f\u5185\u5bb9\u3092\u3001\u300c\u69cb\u9020\u306f\u6642\u9593\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3057\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u3068\u9078\u629e\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u5358\u7d14\u5316\u3057\u3001\u518d\u3073\u66f4\u65b0\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5358\u4e00\u306e\u904e\u7a0b\u3068\u3057\u3066 &#8230; <a title=\"\u54f2\u5b66\u306f\u306a\u305c\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u63fa\u308c\u3092\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u306e\u304b\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/2026\/04\/06\/4328\/\" aria-label=\"\u54f2\u5b66\u306f\u306a\u305c\u69cb\u9020\u306e\u63fa\u308c\u3092\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u306e\u304b \u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3055\u3089\u306b\u8aad\u3080\">\u7d9a\u304d\u3092\u8aad\u3080<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,23,24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-math","category-philosophy","category-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4328"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4328\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4334,"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4328\/revisions\/4334"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.id774.net\/entry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}